It is difficult and expensive to perform full cohort serum analys

It is difficult and expensive to perform full cohort serum analyses, whereas the nested case-control design utilized here can provide substantial reductions in cost and effort with little loss of statistical efficiency.36 Another major strength of our study is that it incorporated, in a strict and in-depth manner, hepatitis virus infection status and HCC cases were identified through the Hiroshima Tumor and Tissue Registry and Nagasaki Cancer Registry,

supplemented by additional cases detected by way of pathological review of related diseases.26 A limitation of our study is that the joint effects of radiation and hepatitis virus infection could not be estimated from the standpoint of causality. As discussed previously, HBV and possibly HCV infection may act as intermediate risk factors in radiation-associated HCC. Previous studies have consistently demonstrated DNA Damage inhibitor that prevalence of HBsAg increases with radiation dose within the AHS,17-19 although no dose response for anti-HCV Ab has been detected.20 Therefore, when the risk of HCC for radiation is estimated while

controlling for HBV infection, some of the radiation risk may be absorbed in the coefficient for HBV infection. In other words, the radiation risk coefficient does not represent Volasertib ic50 the radiation effect independent of mediation by HBV infection and the HCC risk for HBV infection itself is not correctly estimated, because the actual causal pathway is not explicitly modeled. In addition, we cannot easily disentangle the joint effects of radiation and HBV infection

using standard regression models, because HBV infection is not a true confounding risk factor but an intermediate risk factor. Nevertheless, that the radiation risk did not decrease with concomitant adjustment for viral infection suggests that the practical extent of mediation may be small. We are currently developing methods of statistical analysis that jointly consider the dose response for the intermediate viral factor as well learn more as the joint risk of HCC for both hepatitis virus infection and radiation in the countermatched, nested case-control design. In conclusion, radiation exposure was associated with increased risk of HCC, even after adjusting for HBV or HCV infection, alcohol consumption, BMI, and smoking habit. Moreover, radiation exposure was an independent risk factor for non-B, non-C HCC with no apparent confounding by alcohol consumption, BMI, or smoking habit. The mechanistic form of joint effects of radiation and HBV or HCV infection on HCC risk could not be estimated, but the development of new statistical methods that jointly consider the dose response for the intermediate viral factor will make such an analysis possible in the future.

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